feat: 筹码因子情景权重+共振检测修复

- detect_scenario()判定市况→动态调整筹码因子权重
  震荡市(0.9) > 轮动市(0.6) > 上涨(0.4) > 急跌(0.2)
- 共振检测: 筹码支撑 vs 枢轴弱支撑（同为最近支撑位）
- 权重低时筹码即使一致也标记不可靠
- 止损/止盈仍以枢轴为主，筹码提供中线参考

strategy_lifecycle.py

@@ -18,6 +18,7 @@ from datetime import datetime
 import technical_analysis as ta
 import multi_timeframe as mtf
 from mo_data import read_portfolio, read_decisions, read_watchlist
+from strategy_tree import detect_scenario
 
 
 def is_hk_stock(code):
@@ -591,22 +592,51 @@ def reassess_strategy(code, name, price, cost, shares, current_action,
     except Exception as e:
         print(f"  多周期分析失败: {e}", file=sys.stderr)
 
-    # ----- 筹码分布支撑/阻力（中长线参考） -----
+    # ----- 筹码分布支撑/阻力（中长线参考，加情景权重） -----
     chip_sr = None
+    chip_weight = 0.5  # 默认中等权重
+    regime = detect_scenario()
+    regime_id = regime.get("id", "weak_consolidation")
+    
+    # 情景决定筹码因子权重
+    if regime_id == "weak_consolidation":
+        chip_weight = 0.9  # 震荡市筹码最准
+    elif regime_id == "bullish_recovery":
+        chip_weight = 0.4  # 上涨趋势筹码阻力可能被突破
+    elif regime_id == "sharp_decline":
+        chip_weight = 0.2  # 急跌中筹码支撑可能失效
+    elif regime_id == "sector_rotation":
+        chip_weight = 0.6  # 轮动市中筹码有一定参考
+    
     try:
         chip_sr = calc_chip_sr(code, price)
         if chip_sr:
-            print(f"  筹码: 强撑={chip_sr['chip_ss']} 强压={chip_sr['chip_sr']}")
-            # 与枢轴点对比，判断共振/分歧
-            if ss and ws and pivot:
-                chip_ss_pct = (price - chip_sr['chip_ss']) / price * 100 if chip_sr['chip_ss'] > 0 else 0
-                chip_sr_pct = (chip_sr['chip_sr'] - price) / price * 100 if chip_sr['chip_sr'] > 0 else 0
-                pivot_ss_pct = (price - ss) / price * 100 if ss > 0 else 0
-                pivot_sr_pct = (sr_resist - price) / price * 100 if sr_resist > 0 else 0
-                if abs(chip_ss_pct - pivot_ss_pct) < 3:
-                    print(f"  ⚡ 支撑共振: 筹码+枢轴均指向{chip_sr['chip_ss']:.0f}附近")
-                if abs(chip_sr_pct - pivot_sr_pct) < 3:
-                    print(f"  ⚡ 阻力共振: 筹码+枢轴均指向{chip_sr['chip_sr']:.0f}附近")
+            print(f"  筹码: 撑={chip_sr['chip_ss']:.0f} 阻={chip_sr['chip_sr']:.0f} | 情景={regime_id} 权重={chip_weight:.1f}")
+            # 与枢轴点对比
+            if ss and ws and pivot and chip_sr['chip_ss'] > 0 and chip_sr['chip_sr'] > 0:
+                chip_ss_pct = (price - chip_sr['chip_ss']) / price * 100
+                chip_sr_pct = (chip_sr['chip_sr'] - price) / price * 100
+                
+                # 共振检测：筹码支撑 vs 枢轴弱支撑（都是最近支撑位）
+                if ws and ws > 0:
+                    resonance_ss = abs(chip_ss_pct - ((price - ws) / price * 100)) < 3
+                else:
+                    resonance_ss = False
+                # 共振检测：筹码阻力 vs 枢轴弱阻力（都是最近阻力位）
+                if wr and wr > 0:
+                    resonance_sr = abs(chip_sr_pct - ((wr - price) / price * 100)) < 3
+                else:
+                    resonance_sr = False
+                
+                if resonance_ss and chip_weight >= 0.5:
+                    print(f"  ⚡ 支撑共振({chip_weight:.0f}): 筹码+枢轴均指向{chip_sr['chip_ss']:.0f}")
+                elif chip_weight < 0.5:
+                    print(f"  📎 支撑一致但权重低({chip_weight:.1f}): {regime_id}下筹码支撑不可靠")
+                    
+                if resonance_sr and chip_weight >= 0.5:
+                    print(f"  ⚡ 阻力共振({chip_weight:.0f}): 筹码+枢轴均指向{chip_sr['chip_sr']:.0f}")
+                elif chip_weight < 0.5:
+                    print(f"  📎 阻力一致但权重低({chip_weight:.1f}): {regime_id}下筹码阻力不可靠")
     except Exception:
         pass