feat: 优中选优机制（老爸：阈值太低+存量清洗+直接删）

- enqueue_recommend加严: RR>=2.0+仓位必须明确%+买入区有效+不追高(防今早RR1.49/仓位观望/区缺失的垃圾digest)
- promote: score>=7(原4=91%通过率)+ST排除+RR>=2.0
- watchlist_auto_exit: 新增死水3连退+RR<1.5退; 退出方式改为直接DELETE(非inactive)
- 盯盘可执行门槛1.5→2.0

deploy/profile-scripts/promote_candidates.py

@@ -15,12 +15,13 @@ def main():
     conn.row_factory = sqlite3.Row
     
     # 读未提拔候选（按评分降序）
+    # 2026-07-24 老爸"优中选优"：score>=7 才可入候选评估（原 4 = 91%通过率等于没门槛）
     rows = conn.execute("""
         SELECT c.code, c.name, c.score_final, c.entry_range, c.stop_loss, c.target
         FROM candidates c
         WHERE (c.promoted IS NULL OR c.promoted = 0)
         AND (c.dropped IS NULL OR c.dropped = 0)
-        AND c.score_final >= 4
+        AND c.score_final >= 7
         ORDER BY c.score_final DESC
     """).fetchall()
     
@@ -58,17 +59,30 @@ def main():
             continue
         
         # 验证实时价格：无有效价格的候选股不入自选（防假数据污染）
+        _price = 0.0
         try:
             import subprocess, json as _jj
             _r = subprocess.run(["python3", "/home/hmo/.hermes/profiles/position-analyst/scripts/stock_quote.py", code],
                                capture_output=True, text=True, timeout=10)
             _q = _jj.loads(_r.stdout)
-            if float(_q.get("price", 0)) <= 0:
+            _price = float(_q.get("price", 0))
+            if _price <= 0:
                 print(f"  ⏭ {code} {name} 无实时价格，跳过")
                 continue
         except Exception as _e:
             print(f"  ⏭ {code} {name} 价格获取失败({_e})，跳过")
             continue
+
+        # ── 优中选优闸（2026-07-24 老爸）：ST排除 + RR>=2.0 ──
+        if "ST" in (name or "").upper():
+            print(f"  ⏭ {code} {name} ST股，不入自选")
+            continue
+        if el > 0 and eh > el and sl > 0 and tp > 0:
+            _mid = (el + eh) / 2
+            _rr = (tp - _mid) / (_mid - sl) if (_mid - sl) > 0 else 0
+            if _rr < 2.0:
+                print(f"  ⏭ {code} {name} RR={_rr:.2f}<2.0，不入自选")
+                continue
         
         # 构建策略
         now = datetime.now().strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S")

deploy/profile-scripts/watchlist_auto_exit.py

@@ -38,14 +38,14 @@ def main(dry_run=False):
     for code, name, signal, el, eh, price, reassessed_at, pos_advice, fa in rows:
         signal_str = str(signal or "")
         rank = get_signal_rank(signal_str)
-        
+
         # 退出条件判断
         reasons = []
-        
+
         # 条件1: 信号=卖出
         if "卖出" in signal_str:
             reasons.append(f"信号={signal_str}")
-        
+
         # 条件2: 信号=观望/信号不充分 且 价格远离买入区
         if "观望" in signal_str or "信号不充分" in signal_str:
             if price and el and eh and el > 0 and eh > 0:
@@ -53,31 +53,52 @@ def main(dry_run=False):
                     reasons.append(f"价{price}超买区上沿+{((price/eh)-1)*100:.0f}%")
                 elif el > 0 and price < el * 0.85:  # 低于买入区下沿15%
                     reasons.append(f"价{price}低于买区下沿{(1-price/el)*100:.0f}%")
-        
+
         # 条件3: 已清仓/零仓位且信号差
         pos_str = str(pos_advice or "")
         if rank <= 1 and ("0%" in pos_str or "清仓" in pos_str or "不参与" in pos_str):
             reasons.append(f"仓位建议={pos_str}")
-        
-        # 如果有退出理由，执行退出
+
+        # ── 优中选优新增（2026-07-24 老爸）──
+        # 条件4: 死水闸——最近3次重评信号均为 观望/信号不充分/弱势持有 → 退出
+        _weak = ("观望", "信号不充分", "弱势持有")
+        try:
+            _hist = conn.execute(
+                "SELECT timing_signal FROM strategy_history WHERE code=? "
+                "ORDER BY snapshotted_at DESC LIMIT 3", (code,)).fetchall()
+            if len(_hist) >= 3 and all((h[0] or "") in _weak for h in _hist):
+                reasons.append(f"死水3连（{','.join((h[0] or '?') for h in _hist)}）")
+        except Exception:
+            pass
+
+        # 条件5: RR闸——RR<1.5 的平庸标的直接出（老爸：1.5边缘也是阿猫阿狗）
+        try:
+            _rr = conn.execute(
+                "SELECT rr_ratio FROM holding_strategies WHERE code=? AND status='active'",
+                (code,)).fetchone()
+            if _rr and _rr[0] is not None and 0 < _rr[0] < 1.5:
+                reasons.append(f"RR={_rr[0]}<1.5")
+        except Exception:
+            pass
+
+        # 如果有退出理由，执行退出（2026-07-24 老爸：直接删，不降级）
         if reasons:
             reason_text = "; ".join(reasons)
             exited.append((code, name, signal_str, reason_text))
-            
+
             if not dry_run:
-                # 记录退出日志
+                # 记录退出日志（审计留痕）
                 conn.execute(
                     "INSERT INTO watchlist_log (code, name, event, reason, old_signal, new_signal, price) "
                     "VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?)",
-                    (code, name or "", "exit", reason_text, signal_str, "已退出", price)
+                    (code, name or "", "exit", reason_text, signal_str, "已删除", price)
                 )
-                # 标记为inactive（软删除，保留历史）
+                # 直接删除（2026-07-24 老爸决策：不是降级回候选，不是inactive标记）
                 conn.execute(
-                    "UPDATE holding_strategies SET status='inactive', updated_at=datetime('now','localtime') "
-                    "WHERE code=? AND status='active' AND decision_type='自选策略'",
+                    "DELETE FROM holding_strategies WHERE code=? AND status='active' AND decision_type='自选策略'",
                     (code,)
                 )
-                print(f"  🔴 退出: {code} {name or ''} | {reason_text}")
+                print(f"  🔴 删除: {code} {name or ''} | {reason_text}")
         else:
             kept.append(code)