339 lines
14 KiB
Python
339 lines
14 KiB
Python
#!/usr/bin/env python3
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"""mr_scanner.py — v_weak 弱市策略实盘扫描器（2026-08-05 从 v_mr 精选版切换）
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v_weak 是六步法+12维框架定稿的弱市策略（docs/v_mr_strategy.md §19/§21），
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全市场 10y 验证：234笔 / wr 62.4% / avg +7.17% / 8槽组合 ret 178.3% / cagr 12.8% / dd 16.4%。
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v_mr 已被证伪（2018 依赖 + 去2018 掷硬币，§12），v_weak 是其替代。
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入场条件（v_weak 六条件，与回测严格对齐）：
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市场门控（main）：大盘 MA20 下方（trend_down/choppy）+ 大盘 ADX ∈ [25,30) 甜区
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个股：
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1. bias60 ∈ [-35, -20) : 深超跌但不过深（过深易续跌）
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2. RSI14 ≤ 25 : 极度超卖
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3. r5f ≤ -3% : 5日急跌（下跌动能确认）
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4. dist_lo20 < 5% : 距20日低点 < 5%（下方有支撑承接，§17）
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5. 信号日收阳 : 入场重评确认=资金进场（§19）
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6. 缩量 vol5/vol20<1.0 : 入场重评确认=抛压衰竭（§19）
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出场建议：tp=+30% / sl=-12% / max_hold=40 交易日（RR 2.5:1）
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排序：bias60 升序（最深超跌优先，§15 自然序=隐式质量排序）
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候选写入 sector='v_mr'（管道槽位名不变，下游兼容）
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市场门控（2026-08-02 新增）：
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- 只读 market_regime 表，regime 为 trend_down 或 choppy 时启用扫描
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（v_mr 主战场：下跌趋势 + 震荡市；趋势市让位 v_next4）
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- trend_up 时跳过（v_next4 追涨主战场，不扫超跌）
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数据源：腾讯前复权日K（qfq），datalen=120（覆盖 MA60 + 60日回看 + RSI 收敛）
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指标算法：与 backtest_framework.py 完全一致（内联，零偏差）
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输出：candidates 表（sector='v_mr'），与 accumulation_scanner 同 UPSERT 模式
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用法：
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python3 mr_scanner.py # 完整扫描（regime 门控）
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python3 mr_scanner.py --force # 忽略 regime 门控强制扫描
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python3 mr_scanner.py --top N # 输出前 N 只（默认 10）
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"""
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import sys, json, urllib.request, re, time, sqlite3
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from pathlib import Path
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from datetime import datetime
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# 2026-08-11 重构：工具函数抽取到公共模块（indicators/market_data）
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# 原 calc_ma/calc_rsi/calc_atr/calc_obv → indicators.py
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# 原 fetch_tx_klines/get_stock_pool → market_data.py
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# 保留本文件的 import 兼容（从公共模块导入同名函数）
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from indicators import calc_ma, calc_rsi, calc_atr, calc_obv
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from market_data import fetch_tx_klines, get_stock_pool
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DB_PATH = Path("/home/hmo/MoFin/data/mofin.db")
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UA = "Mozilla/5.0"
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# ── v_weak 参数（2026-08-03 六步法+12维框架定稿，见 docs/v_mr_strategy.md §19/§21）──
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# 弱市(大盘MA20下) + 大盘ADX∈[25,30]甜区(门控在main) + 个股六条件
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WEAK_CFG = {
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"bias60_min": -35, # bias60 ∈ [-35, -20)：深超跌但不过深（过深易续跌）
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"bias60_max": -20,
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"rsi_max": 25, # RSI ≤ 25：极度超卖
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"r5f_max": -3, # 5日急跌 ≤ -3%（下跌动能确认）
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"dist_lo20_max": 5, # 距20日低点 < 5%（下方有支撑承接）
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"vol_shrink_max": 1.0, # 缩量 vol5/vol20 < 1.0（抛压衰竭，入场重评确认）
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"require_yang": True, # 信号日收阳（资金进场，入场重评确认）
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}
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EXIT_CFG = {"tp_pct": 0.30, "sl_pct": 0.12, "max_hold_days": 40}
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TOP_N = 10
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def load_regime():
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"""读取当前温区。优先平滑温区（regime_gate K=5），回退原始 market_regime。
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adx 仍需从原始表补（甜区门控用）。"""
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# 平滑温区优先
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try:
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from regime_gate import get_current_regime
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_rg = get_current_regime()
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if _rg and _rg.get("regime") != "unknown":
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_base = {"date": _rg.get("date", ""), "regime": _rg.get("regime"), "smoothed": True}
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# 补 adx/above_ma20（甜区门控需要）
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try:
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conn = sqlite3.connect(str(DB_PATH), timeout=5)
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row = conn.execute(
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"SELECT date, above_ma20, adx, regime FROM market_regime "
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"ORDER BY date DESC LIMIT 1").fetchone()
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conn.close()
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if row:
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_base["above_ma20"] = bool(row[1])
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_base["adx"] = row[2]
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except Exception:
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pass
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return _base
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except Exception:
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pass
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# 回退原始
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try:
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conn = sqlite3.connect(str(DB_PATH), timeout=5)
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row = conn.execute(
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"SELECT date, above_ma20, adx, regime FROM market_regime "
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"ORDER BY date DESC LIMIT 1").fetchone()
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conn.close()
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if row:
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return {"date": row[0], "above_ma20": bool(row[1]), "adx": row[2], "regime": row[3]}
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except Exception:
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pass
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return None
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# ── v_mr 筛选（精选版：基线6条件 + 正面4因子 + 剔除4负面）──
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def check_vmr(klines, mkt_adx=None):
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"""对单只股票做 v_weak 入场筛选（2026-08-05 从 v_mr 精选版切换）。
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六条件：bias60∈[-35,-20) + RSI≤25 + 5日急跌≤-3% + 距20日低点<5% + 收阳 + 缩量。
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klines 为升序日K。mkt_adx 保留参数兼容（甜区门控在 main）。"""
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if not klines or len(klines) < 70:
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return None
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closes = [k["close"] for k in klines]
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highs = [k["high"] for k in klines]
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lows = [k["low"] for k in klines]
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vols = [k["volume"] for k in klines]
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i = len(klines) - 1 # 最新一日
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close = closes[i]
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if close <= 0:
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return None
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ma60 = calc_ma(closes, 60)
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ma20 = calc_ma(closes, 20)
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rsi_all = calc_rsi(closes)
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rsi = rsi_all[i] if i < len(rsi_all) else None
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m60 = ma60[i]
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if not m60 or m60 <= 0 or rsi is None:
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return None
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# 1. bias60 ∈ [-35, -20)：深超跌但不过深
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bias60 = (close - m60) / m60 * 100
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if not (WEAK_CFG["bias60_min"] <= bias60 < WEAK_CFG["bias60_max"]):
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return None
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# 2. RSI ≤ 25：极度超卖
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if rsi > WEAK_CFG["rsi_max"]:
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return None
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# 3. 5日急跌 ≤ -3%（下跌动能确认）
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prev5 = closes[i - 5] if i >= 5 else 0
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r5f = (close - prev5) / prev5 * 100 if prev5 > 0 else 0
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if r5f > WEAK_CFG["r5f_max"]:
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return None
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# 4. 距20日低点 < 5%（下方有支撑承接，§17 老莫洞察）
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lo20 = min(lows[max(0, i - 19):i + 1])
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dist_lo20 = (close - lo20) / lo20 * 100 if lo20 > 0 else 999
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if dist_lo20 >= WEAK_CFG["dist_lo20_max"]:
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return None
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# 5. 信号日收阳（入场重评确认：资金进场，§19）
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if WEAK_CFG["require_yang"] and close <= klines[i]["open"]:
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return None
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# 6. 缩量 vol5/vol20 < 1.0（入场重评确认：抛压衰竭，§19）
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vol5 = sum(vols[max(0, i - 4):i + 1]) / 5 if i >= 4 else 0
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vol20 = sum(vols[max(0, i - 19):i + 1]) / 20 if i >= 19 else 0
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vol_shrink = vol5 / vol20 if vol20 > 0 else 99
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if vol_shrink >= WEAK_CFG["vol_shrink_max"]:
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return None
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# 命中 → 出场建议（精选版 exit_cfg）
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tp_pct = EXIT_CFG["tp_pct"]
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sl_pct = EXIT_CFG["sl_pct"]
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target = round(close * (1 + tp_pct), 2)
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stop = round(close * (1 - sl_pct), 2)
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return {
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"price": close,
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"bias60": round(bias60, 2),
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"rsi": round(rsi, 2),
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"r5f": round(r5f, 2),
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"dist_lo20": round(dist_lo20, 2),
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"vol_shrink": round(vol_shrink, 3),
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"mkt_adx": mkt_adx,
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"target": target,
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"stop_loss": stop,
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"date": klines[i]["date"],
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}
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def _singleton_guard(max_age_sec, script_tag):
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"""自愈式单例守卫（2026-08-05 进程堆积事故后统一加装）"""
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import subprocess as _sp, os as _os, sys as _sys
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my_pid = _os.getpid()
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try:
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out = _sp.run(["ps", "-C", "python3", "-o", "pid,etimes,cmd"],
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capture_output=True, text=True, timeout=10).stdout
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for line in out.splitlines():
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if script_tag not in line:
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continue
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parts = line.split(None, 2)
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if len(parts) < 3:
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continue
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try:
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pid = int(parts[0]); age = int(parts[1])
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except ValueError:
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continue
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if pid == my_pid:
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continue
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if age > max_age_sec:
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try:
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_os.kill(pid, 9)
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print(f"[guard] SIGKILL卡死实例 pid={pid} age={age}s", flush=True)
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except ProcessLookupError:
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pass
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else:
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print(f"[guard] 已有新鲜实例 pid={pid} age={age}s 在跑, 本实例退出", flush=True)
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_sys.exit(0)
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except Exception as _e:
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print(f"[guard] 守卫异常(放行): {_e}", flush=True)
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def main():
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force = "--force" in sys.argv
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_singleton_guard(1500, "mr_scanner.py")
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top_n = TOP_N
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if "--top" in sys.argv:
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try:
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top_n = int(sys.argv[sys.argv.index("--top") + 1])
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except (ValueError, IndexError):
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pass
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print(f"[MR] {datetime.now().strftime('%H:%M')} v_mr 实盘扫描开始", flush=True)
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# ── regime 门控 + 大盘 ADX（负面因子用 + 甜区门控 2026-08-03 12维发现）──
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regime = load_regime()
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mkt_adx = None
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if regime:
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rg = regime["regime"]
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mkt_adx = regime["adx"]
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print(f" 市场阶段: {regime['date']} → {rg} (adx={regime['adx']})", flush=True)
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if rg not in ("trend_down", "choppy") and not force:
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print(f" ⏭ {rg} 非 v_mr 主战场（trend_down/choppy 才扫），跳过", flush=True)
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return
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if rg not in ("trend_down", "choppy"):
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print(f" ⚠ --force 强制扫描（当前 {rg}）", flush=True)
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# 12维框架验证(2026-08-03): 弱市深超跌edge的前提是大盘ADX∈[25,30]（甜区）
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# ADX<20 avg+1.63% / 20-25 -1.24% / 25-30 +4.89% / 30-40 -0.04% / >=40 -0.10%
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# 非甜区时 v_mr 信号质量显著下降，默认跳过（--force 可强制）
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if mkt_adx is not None and not (25 <= mkt_adx < 30) and not force:
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print(f" ⏭ 大盘ADX={mkt_adx:.1f} 非甜区[25,30)（12维验证：强跌/弱跌市超跌信号质量差），跳过", flush=True)
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return
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if mkt_adx is not None and not (25 <= mkt_adx < 30):
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print(f" ⚠ --force 强制扫描（当前ADX={mkt_adx:.1f} 非甜区）", flush=True)
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else:
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print(" ⚠ market_regime 不可用，默认执行扫描（v_mr 全市场可用）", flush=True)
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# ── 幂等检查：当天已扫过 v_mr 则跳过（避免 30 分钟调度重复全扫描）──
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import sqlite3 as _sq
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_conn = _sq.connect(str(DB_PATH), timeout=5)
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try:
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_today = datetime.now().strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
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# 幂等只认扫描器自己写的候选(reason以v_weak/v_mr精选开头)
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# —— watchlist_auto_exit 回归池也写 sector='v_mr'，不能算数(2026-08-05 bug修复)
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_n = _conn.execute(
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"SELECT COUNT(*) FROM candidates WHERE sector='v_mr' AND substr(created_at,1,10)=?"
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" AND (reason LIKE 'v_weak%' OR reason LIKE 'v_mr精选%')",
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(_today,)).fetchone()[0]
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except Exception:
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_n = 0
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_conn.close()
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if _n > 0 and not force:
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print(f" 已有 {_n} 条今日 v_mr 候选，跳过重复扫描（--force 可强制）", flush=True)
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return
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# ── 股票池 ──
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all_stocks, existing = get_stock_pool()
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print(f" 股票池: {len(all_stocks)}只A股, 已有策略: {len(existing)}只", flush=True)
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if not all_stocks:
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print(" ⚠ stocks 表为空", flush=True)
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return
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# 并发拉日K（ThreadPool 8 并发）
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from concurrent.futures import ThreadPoolExecutor, as_completed
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pool = [c for c in all_stocks if c not in existing]
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found = []
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done = 0
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with ThreadPoolExecutor(max_workers=8) as ex:
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fut_map = {ex.submit(fetch_sina_klines, c): c for c in pool}
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for fut in as_completed(fut_map):
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code = fut_map[fut]
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done += 1
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klines = fut.result()
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if klines:
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sig = check_vmr(klines, mkt_adx=mkt_adx)
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if sig:
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found.append((code, sig))
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if done % 400 == 0:
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print(f" 已扫描 {done}/{len(pool)}", flush=True)
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print(f" 命中 v_weak 条件: {len(found)} 只", flush=True)
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# 排序：同分按偏度，精选因子已强过滤，按 rsi_delta 降序（止跌确认最强优先）
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found.sort(key=lambda x: x[1]["bias60"]) # 最深超跌优先（§15 自然序）
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# ── 写 candidates 表（UPSERT，保留计算列）──
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conn = sqlite3.connect(str(DB_PATH), timeout=5)
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inserted = 0
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for code, sig in found[:top_n]:
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name = code
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try:
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r = conn.execute("SELECT name FROM stocks WHERE code=?", (code,)).fetchone()
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if r and r[0]:
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name = r[0]
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except Exception:
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pass
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price = sig["price"]
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entry_low = round(price * 0.97, 2)
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entry_high = round(price * 1.02, 2)
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sl = sig["stop_loss"]
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tp = sig["target"]
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reasons = (f"v_weak(bias60={sig['bias60']}% rsi={sig['rsi']} "
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f"r5f={sig['r5f']}% dist_lo20={sig['dist_lo20']}% "
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f"vol={sig['vol_shrink']} 收阳+缩量确认)")
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# 检查是否已在 candidates 且未 promoted
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exists = conn.execute(
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"SELECT code FROM candidates WHERE code=? AND (promoted IS NULL OR promoted=0)",
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(code,)).fetchone()
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if exists:
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continue
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conn.execute(
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"INSERT INTO candidates (code, name, sector, reason, "
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"entry_range, stop_loss, target, created_at) "
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"VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,datetime('now','localtime')) "
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"ON CONFLICT(code) DO UPDATE SET "
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"name=excluded.name, sector=excluded.sector, reason=excluded.reason, "
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"entry_range=excluded.entry_range, stop_loss=excluded.stop_loss, target=excluded.target",
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(code, name, "v_mr", reasons,
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f"{entry_low}~{entry_high}", sl, tp))
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inserted += 1
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print(f" 🟢 {code} {name} 价{price} bias60={sig['bias60']}% "
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f"rsi={sig['rsi']} r5f={sig['r5f']}% {reasons}", flush=True)
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conn.commit()
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conn.close()
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print(f" ✅ 新增 {inserted} 只 v_weak 候选（前 {top_n}）", flush=True)
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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main()
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