feat: 温区级综合/普适计算——温区内信号月份分散度+温区总月份占比,温区行综合用温区portfolio算,universality显示温区级月份/温区总月份;说明列fallback

This commit is contained in:
hmo
2026-08-15 09:46:13 +08:00
parent e0bf57c3f0
commit 9ac39a9590
2 changed files with 64 additions and 4 deletions
+59 -1
View File
@@ -574,7 +574,65 @@ def api_research_strategies():
_c.close()
except Exception:
pass
# 2026-08-15 证伪标记(数据驱动):strategy_research.deprecated
# 温区级普适前先建立日期→温区映射(A股 market_regime
_regime_map = {}
try:
import sqlite3 as _sq5
_c5 = _sq5.connect(str(DATA_DIR / "mofin.db"), timeout=10)
for _r in _c5.execute("SELECT date, regime FROM market_regime WHERE market='a'"):
_regime_map[_r[0]] = _r[1]
_c5.close()
except Exception:
pass
# 2026-08-15 温区级普适:策略在适应温区内发出信号的月份分散度 + 温区总月份占比
# 温区总月份数(A股: choppy35.4%/trend_down30.3%/trend_up34.3%;按市场 regime 时长统计)
try:
import sqlite3 as _sq3
_c3 = _sq3.connect(str(DATA_DIR / "mofin.db"), timeout=10)
_total_months = _c3.execute(
"SELECT COUNT(DISTINCT substr(date,1,7)) FROM market_regime WHERE market='a'").fetchone()[0]
_regime_months = {r[0]: r[1] for r in _c3.execute(
"SELECT regime, COUNT(DISTINCT substr(date,1,7)) FROM market_regime WHERE market='a' GROUP BY regime").fetchall()}
_c3.close()
except Exception:
_total_months = 0
_regime_months = {}
_regime_universality = {} # (version, regime) -> {'months': N, 'score': 分散度}
try:
import sqlite3 as _sq4, json as _json4, collections as _coll
_c4 = _sq4.connect(str(DATA_DIR / "mofin.db"), timeout=10)
for _r in _c4.execute(
"SELECT version, results_json FROM strategy_research WHERE results_json IS NOT NULL"):
try:
_res = _json4.loads(_r[1])
_trades = _res.get("trades", [])
if not _trades:
continue
# 按温区过滤该策略 tradesregime_winrates 已有温区归类)
for _rg in ("trend_up", "choppy", "trend_down"):
_rg_months = _coll.Counter()
for _t in _trades:
_ed = _t.get("entry_date", "")
if _ed and _regime_map.get(_ed) == _rg:
_rg_months[_ed[:7]] += 1
if _rg_months:
_n = len(_rg_months)
_tot = sum(_rg_months.values())
_score = 0.0
if _n > 1:
for _c in _rg_months.values():
_p = _c / _tot
_score -= _p * (0.0 if _p == 0 else __import__('math').log(_p))
_score = _score / __import__('math').log(_n) * 100
_regime_universality.setdefault(_r[0], {})[_rg] = {
"months": _n, "score": round(_score, 0),
"regime_total_months": _regime_months.get(_rg, 0),
}
except Exception:
continue
_c4.close()
except Exception:
_regime_universality = {}
_deprecated = {}
try:
import sqlite3 as _sq2
+5 -3
View File
@@ -2442,8 +2442,9 @@ function renderStrategyTable(strategies) {
const holdShow = rw && rw.avg_hold_days != null ? rw.avg_hold_days : (isOverall ? st.avg_hold_days : null);
const sharpeShow = rw && rw.sharpe_ratio != null ? rw.sharpe_ratio : (isOverall ? st.sharpe_ratio : null);
const pfShow = rw && rw.profit_factor != null ? rw.profit_factor : (isOverall ? st.profit_factor : null);
// 组合级列:整体行用整体组合;温区行用温区级组合(rw.portfolio+ 温区级 composite + 整体普适近似
// 组合级列:整体行用整体组合;温区行用温区级组合(rw.portfolio+ 温区级 composite + 温区级 universality
const rwPf = rw && rw.portfolio ? rw.portfolio : null;
const rwUniv = rw && rw.universality ? rw.universality : null;
// 温区级 composite(用温区 portfolio 的 cagr/total_return + 温区胜率/夏普/盈亏比/回撤,对齐整体综合分逻辑)
let rgComposite = null;
if (rwPf) {
@@ -2455,7 +2456,8 @@ function renderStrategyTable(strategies) {
rgComposite = Math.round((rgRet + rgWr + rgSh + rgPfc + rgDd) * (s._confidence || 1));
}
const compositeShow = isOverall ? s._composite : rgComposite;
const universalityShow = isOverall ? (st.universality || {}).score : (st.universality || {}).score;
// 温区级 universality(温区内信号月份分散度 + 温区总月份占比)
const universalityShow = isOverall ? (st.universality || {}).score : (rwUniv ? rwUniv.score : null);
const retShow = isOverall ? (st.portfolio_full||{}).total_return_pct : (rwPf ? rwPf.total_return_pct : null);
const capShow = isOverall ? (st.portfolio_full||pf).capital_final : (rwPf ? rwPf.capital_final : null);
const cagrShow = isOverall ? (st.portfolio_full||pf).cagr_pct : (rwPf ? rwPf.cagr_pct : null);
@@ -2474,7 +2476,7 @@ function renderStrategyTable(strategies) {
'<td class="text-center px-2 py-1.5 font-mono text-cyan-300">' + (st.sizing_slots ? st.sizing_slots + '仓' : '10仓') + (st.conviction_model ? '<button onclick="event.stopPropagation();showConviction(\'' + s.version + '\')" class="text-amber-400 hover:text-amber-300" title="查看信念分级仓位规则">⚡</button>' : '') + '</td>' +
'<td class="text-center px-2 py-1.5">' + ((s.description && s.description.title) ? '<button onclick="event.stopPropagation();showDesc(\'' + s.version + '\')" class="text-blue-400 hover:text-blue-300" title="查看策略说明">📖</button>' : '<span class="text-slate-700">—</span>') + '</td>' +
cell('composite', compositeShow, v => v + (s._confidence != null && s._confidence < 1 ? '<span class="text-slate-500 text-[10px]">×' + s._confidence.toFixed(2) + '</span>' : ''), 'font-bold text-amber-300') +
cell('universality_score', universalityShow, v => v + '<span class="text-slate-500">/' + (st.universality || {}).months + '月</span>') +
cell('universality_score', universalityShow, v => v + '<span class="text-slate-500">/' + (isOverall ? (st.universality || {}).months : (rwUniv ? rwUniv.months + '/' + (rwUniv.regime_total_months || '?') : '?')) + '月</span>') +
cell('full_return_pct', retShow, v => v + '%', 'font-bold text-amber-300') +
cell('capital_final', capShow, v => '¥' + (v/10000).toFixed(0) + '万') +
cell('cagr_pct', cagrShow, v => v + '%', hl(cagrShow, best.cagr_pct)) +